BTC-USD — HOLD -14
Bitcoin USD · $78,030.45 ▼ 29.47% · updated
HOLD
68% of the weighted components agree. Unadjusted score -23.
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What each indicator says about BTC-USD
| Component | Reading | Pull |
|---|---|---|
| EMA stack (9/21/50) | Short-term averages below long-term | -0.30 |
| 200-day regime | 2.2% above the 200-day EMA | +0.18 |
| MACD 12/26/9 | Bearish histogram, fading | -0.21 |
| RSI (14) | RSI 38.6 | -0.80 |
| Stochastic 14/3/3 | %K 15.8 vs %D 13.7 | +0.42 |
| ADX (14) | ADX 20.5 — trending | -0.22 |
| Bollinger %B | %B 0.13 | -0.60 |
| On-balance volume | Distribution over 20 bars | -0.19 |
| Weekly timeframe | Weekly disagrees — BUY at 32 | +0.53 |
Key levels
| Price | $78,030.45 |
|---|---|
| 20-bar support | $76,189.88 |
| 20-bar resistance | $84,840.05 |
| ATR stop (1.5×) | $75,089.80 |
| RSI (14) | 38.6 |
| ADX (14) | 20.5 |
| ATR (14) | $1,960.44 (2.51%) |
Patterns detected on BTC-USD
- Golden cross — The 50-period average crossed above the 200-period 52 bars ago.
- Squeeze resolving — Volatility is expanding out of a recent squeeze, downward so far.
BTC-USD questions people ask
Is BTC-USD a buy or a sell right now?
Alpha Rev's composite technical score for BTC-USD is -14 out of 100, which reads as HOLD. That score is the weighted sum of eight independent components — EMA stack, 200-period regime, MACD, RSI, stochastic, ADX, Bollinger %B and on-balance volume — re-weighted for the current mixed regime. It is technical analysis of price and volume only, not financial advice, and it carries no fundamental or news input.
What is the current technical outlook for BTC-USD?
No dominant regime. Weights stay at their defaults. The weekly timeframe reads BUY at 32. Support sits near $76,189.88 and resistance near $84,840.05 on a 20-bar basis.
How confident is the BTC-USD signal?
68% of the weighted components agree with the HOLD reading. Confidence is lowered automatically in high-volatility regimes, where signals fire more often and fail more often.
Where does this BTC-USD data come from?
Prices come from Yahoo Finance. All indicator maths runs on this site; nothing is bought from a signal vendor. The page updates when it is requested, not on a fixed schedule.
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