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TLT — HOLD +16

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · $81.84 ▼ 9.63% · updated

HOLD

54% of the weighted components agree. Unadjusted score 28.

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VOLATILE REGIME — Volatility is above 91% of the past year's readings. Signals fire more often here and fail more often.

What each indicator says about TLT

Component readings behind the HOLD verdict
ComponentReadingPull
EMA stack (9/21/50)Short-term averages above long-term +0.30
200-day regime-2.8% below the 200-day EMA -0.22
MACD 12/26/9Bullish histogram, fading +0.15
RSI (14)RSI 63.0 +0.80
Stochastic 14/3/3%K 88.1 vs %D 88.4 -0.32
ADX (14)ADX 19.7 — range-bound +0.19
Bollinger %B%B 0.83 +0.52
On-balance volumeAccumulation over 20 bars +1.00
Weekly timeframeWeekly disagrees — SELL at -40 -0.67

Key levels

Price$81.84
20-bar support$76.43
20-bar resistance$82.03
ATR stop (1.5×)$80.65
RSI (14)63.0
ADX (14)19.7
ATR (14)$0.794789 (0.97%)

TLT questions people ask

Is TLT a buy or a sell right now?

Alpha Rev's composite technical score for TLT is 16 out of 100, which reads as HOLD. That score is the weighted sum of eight independent components — EMA stack, 200-period regime, MACD, RSI, stochastic, ADX, Bollinger %B and on-balance volume — re-weighted for the current volatile regime. It is technical analysis of price and volume only, not financial advice, and it carries no fundamental or news input.

What is the current technical outlook for TLT?

Volatility is above 91% of the past year's readings. Signals fire more often here and fail more often. The weekly timeframe reads SELL at -40. Support sits near $76.43 and resistance near $82.03 on a 20-bar basis.

How confident is the TLT signal?

54% of the weighted components agree with the HOLD reading. Confidence is lowered automatically in high-volatility regimes, where signals fire more often and fail more often.

Where does this TLT data come from?

Prices come from Yahoo Finance. All indicator maths runs on this site; nothing is bought from a signal vendor. The page updates when it is requested, not on a fixed schedule.

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